As countries grow stronger through their arsenal of weapons, the possibility of the world entering a nuclear war seems to be increasing. People wonder, “How likely is nuclear war?” and truthfully, with more and more countries increasing their power and advancing technology, it could be quite possible, and the UN agrees. See how the United Nations is evaluating the possibilities and preparing for anything that comes our way.
Suggested read: Nuclear Deterrence: Keeping the World Alive Since 1949
How Likely Is Nuclear War, Really?
A United Nations Secretary recently raised concerns over the possibility of a nuclear war actually happening, stating that it was “back within the realm of possibility.” The chance of nuclear war happening seems to be higher now than it has been in a while, with Russia’s increasing the intensity of attacks against Ukraine in addition to their strategic alliances with non-NATO countries.
The possibility of nuclear war actually happening is a complex and multifaceted subject, however.
Could There Be a Russian Nuclear War?
Tensions have been rising since the current President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, has been seriously considering that the use of nuclear weapons is necessary in the pursuit of overtaking Ukraine. They have also directed warnings to the United States and NATO should they intervene in the conflict.
While Russia remains at bay concerning any nuclear attacks, the United States remains one of the primary targets for Russia, as the U.S. continues to offer support to Ukraine.
The long-standing tension between the United States and Russia stems all the way back to the Cold War, a war that served as a catalyst for countries to mass produce one of the deadliest weapons known to man: the nuclear bomb. Ever since then, mutually-assured destruction has kept us all safe.
One insider has an expert opinion on where Russian forces would likely strike on American territory if they decided to do so. According to Business Insider, “Strategists believe a nuclear attack will focus on countering the enemy’s nuclear forces – destroying them before they can counter attack.”
Stephen Schwartz, author of “Atomic Audit: The Costs and Consequences of US Nuclear Weapons Since 1940,” says, “It’s exceedingly unlikely that such an attack would be fully successful.”
The likelihood of nuclear war may be possible; however, in today’s world, the United States is equipped with defense strategies that, in most cases, would render an attack from Russia to be a failure.
Schwartz claims that even if a nuclear war scenario were to happen successfully by the Russian government, there would still be other ways to retaliate, such as the United States deploying our “four to five nuclear-armed submarines on hard alert.”
These submarines are scattered around the world’s oceans and are on standby in case anything happens. Even high-ranking officials within the U.S. military don’t know where these submarines are located. But, of course, this might set off a chain of events that few people will live to see the end of.
Many of Russia’s nuclear targets within the States happen to be places where we house nuclear warheads, command/control centers, submarines or planes, and Minuteman III ICBM bases, with the Minuteman bases being the highest priority for our adversaries. To see the U.S. nuclear targets that Russia, or other nuclear-capable countries, would likely target first, check out this map from Business Insider.
Although these targets are spread apart within the United States, it’s good to know where the best place is to survive in a nuclear war where the U.S. is involved – as far away from all of those spots as possible.
Where Is the Best Place To Survive Nuclear War in the U.S.?
Many people worry and wonder where they would go if a nuclear war were to break out in the U.S.
According to many sources, the place to go if nuclear war were to ever break out is the following states:
- Northern California.
- Western Texas.
These areas are sometimes considered to be the safest place to be during a nuclear war because they are far away from nuclear power plants and lack large urban centers that could possibly be a target for our adversaries looking to cause the largest number of casualties.
If you’re not lucky enough to live in one of these states, simply search “fallout shelters near me” and click on Google Maps to find the closest shelter that you should probably run to if we do get a warning that a nuclear attack is imminent.
What Is the Latest Nuclear War 2022 News?
As conflicts continue with Russian and Ukrainian forces through the end of 2022 and beginning of 2023, Russia threatens nuclear war on Ukraine and any country that gets involved with them constantly.
As such, a lot of people are asking, “Will there be a nuclear war between Ukraine and Russia?” and the answer to that question is still under much uncertainty as the tensions between the nations continue to rise. Thankfully, you shouldn’t expect a nuclear war alert on your phone any time soon.
With the strength of Russian forces, attacks, and threats from Vladimir Putin, nuclear war isn’t unlikely. While we don’t know if Russia’s nuclear war plans and threats are serious, NATO nations are on high alert and prepared in case Russia decides to overstep its boundaries.
A Russia/Ukraine nuclear war would be devastating for the developing country. For Putin, nuclear war is imminent if Ukraine doesn’t back down, but Ukraine has proven that they’re not going down without a fight. Will Putin make good on his threats, or is he just blowing smoke? Right now, experts aren’t seeing any immediate need for concern from the general public.
This conflict was at a peak for the majority of 2022, and it doesn’t seem to be backing down with the new year. With neither side willing to throw in the towel, it raises the question of if the United States’s continuing support of Ukraine will cause us harm in the future, especially since the nation is not an official NATO member.
What Does the Future Hold for the United States?
While any nuclear war news rings alarm bells in people’s heads, nuclear war actually happening is far off but not out of the realm of possibility. Is nuclear war likely? No. No matter the chances of nuclear war breaking out between the United States and Russia, there’s a “0.0% chance” that Russia would survive the attack, according to Schwartz. This makes the actual possibility of nuclear war look pretty slim, no matter what Putin says.
A nuclear war now would mean trouble for the two countries involved and all the countries who have supported Ukraine throughout the invasion, but rest assured that there are many strategies and protocols in place to ensure that this doesn’t happen.
So if you ever ask, “How likely is nuclear war?” know that within the borders of the United States, we are well protected and prepared for anything that comes our way regardless of how that question gets answered in the future.